Fifth all-in lost in a row. Two hours without hitting a single flop. Every board seems designed to crush you. The thought pops up again: “The RNG must be rigged.” Let’s take a clear-headed look at who could benefit from this, how to check if it’s real, and what’s actually happening behind the scenes.
💸 Would a Poker Room Benefit from a “Rigged RNG”?
At first glance — yes. If recreational players keep running hot, they stay longer and lose money more slowly. Regulars see active tables, assume they’re just running bad, and keep playing. Everyone stays in action — rake flows.
But that’s a short-term gain and a long-term disaster. Once serious players start running statistical analysis, the truth comes out — and the room’s reputation is done for. That’s why major platforms like ClubGG, PPPoker, PokerBros, and X-Poker use certified random number generators audited by iTechLabs or GLI. Manipulating RNG makes no business sense: the short-term win is nothing compared to long-term damage.
🧮 How to Check If the Game Is Fair
The easiest and most objective way — analyze your hand histories. Don’t rely on feelings; rely on data.
- PokerCraft — integrated into ClubGG and GGPoker.
- PokerTracker 4 and Hand2Note — compatible with PPPoker and PokerBros (via hand import).
- DriveHUD 2 — great for visual EV and variance analysis.
Upload at least 50,000 hands and compare your All-in EV graph with your actual results. If they converge over a long sample, the RNG is fair. If the gap is large and consistent — that’s when it makes sense to dig deeper. And believe me, if professional players ever found such discrepancies, they would have analyzed data from hundreds of accounts and published detailed investigations on the most respected poker platforms.
And if you want to actually profit from fair poker, use rakeback deals. On PokerDealsHub you’ll find trusted offers for PPPoker, ClubGG, X-Poker and PokerBros — with up to 70% rakeback available for active players.
📉 So If It’s Not Rigged, What Is It?
1. Variance
Even perfect play doesn’t protect you from losing streaks. It’s not a conspiracy — it’s statistics.
- NL50 — typical variance ≈ 80 BB/100. Over 400 hands the standard deviation (σ) is √4 × 80 = 160 BB ≈ $80.
- PLO5 50 — variance ≈ 175 BB/100. σ = √4 × 175 = 350 BB ≈ $175.
The chance of running worse than 1σ (−$80 at NL50) is about 16%. Running worse than 2σ (−$160 at NL50 or −$350 at PLO5) — around 2.5%. In other words, roughly one out of forty short sessions will feel like you’re cursed. That’s actually more likely than hitting a one-outer on the river — and we’ve all seen those happen plenty. In PLO, however, variance is naturally higher — swings can easily be 1.5 times stronger than in No-Limit Hold’em, so downswings there feel even more brutal despite perfectly fair randomness.
2. Selective Memory
Humans remember pain, not averages. Five brutal all-ins stick forever; five lucky ones vanish from memory. Without tracking software, our perception is always biased.
3. Rake Pressure
Now here’s a real enemy. Imagine you play NL50 with a solid winrate of +8 BB/100, but the room takes 10 BB/100 in rake. Your “real” winrate becomes −2 BB/100 — and suddenly it feels like the site is rigged against you, even though it’s just math.
💰 How Rakeback Fixes the Math
Let’s add a realistic 60% rakeback deal — easily achievable for consistent volume players.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Winrate before rake | +8 BB/100 |
| Rake | 10 BB/100 |
| Winrate without rakeback | −2 BB/100 |
| Rakeback | 60% |
| Effective winrate after rakeback | +4 BB/100 |
Now let’s translate this into money, using NL50 as an example (blinds $0.25/$0.5, 200 hands per hour, 4 tables):
- Without rakeback: −2 × 0.5 × 200 / 100 = −$2 per hour
- With 60% rakeback: +4 × 0.5 × 200 / 100 = +$4 per hour
The difference — about $6 per hour, or roughly $500–$1200 per month, depending on how many tables and limits you play.
Check out PokerDealsHub’s rakeback offers — real, verified deals that turn honest play into profitable play.🎯 Conclusion
The RNG isn’t your enemy. The real enemies are variance, selective memory, and unmitigated rake. Numbers don’t lie: EV analysis shows randomness is fair. And if you want fair poker to pay — explore the best rakeback deals and play in trusted unions like Nuts PrimeTime, ElDorado, or PPPFish — proven partners with high traffic and transparent payouts.